{"id":88937,"date":"2026-02-01T09:15:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T02:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/?p=88937"},"modified":"2026-02-02T09:17:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T02:17:08","slug":"nang-suat-nhan-to-tong-hop-tru-cot-trung-tam-cua-chien-luoc-phat-trien-moi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/nang-suat-nhan-to-tong-hop-tru-cot-trung-tam-cua-chien-luoc-phat-trien-moi\/01\/02\/2026\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p – tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u to\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 XIV c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng x\u00e1c l\u1eadp m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean 10%\/n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026\u20132030. Trong \u0111\u00f3, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p (TFP) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p tr\u00ean 55% v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p, vi\u1ec7c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i XIV c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec1 ra m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean 10%\/n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u1ec1 kh\u00e1t v\u1ecdng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. GS. TS Ho\u00e0ng V\u0103n C\u01b0\u1eddng – \u0110\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i kh\u00f3a XV, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 cho r\u1eb1ng, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed nhi\u1ec1u \u00fd ki\u1ebfn v\u00ed \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i XIV c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i VI n\u0103m 1986, d\u1ea5u m\u1ed1c m\u1edf ra c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ed5i m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

TFP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/em><\/p>\n

Sau g\u1ea7n 40 n\u0103m \u0110\u1ed5i m\u1edbi, t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ngh\u00e8o n\u00e0n, thi\u1ebfu th\u1ed1n, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u01a1n l\u00ean tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh cao, t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf tr\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo GS. TS Ho\u00e0ng V\u0103n C\u01b0\u1eddng, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1edf ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00edch \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u1edbn h\u01a1n l\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u201cb\u1eaby thu nh\u1eadp trung b\u00ecnh\u201d, h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp cao v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2045. Mu\u1ed1n v\u1eady, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n, m\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n sang m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1edbi d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t, khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft s\u00e1ch ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00f4ng qua t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i XIV, PGS. TS Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u01b0\u1eddng L\u1ea1ng –\u00a0Vi\u1ec7n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 Kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c d\u00e2n cho r\u1eb1ng, sau 40 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi, Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n m\u1edbi v\u1edbi y\u00eau c\u1ea7u cao h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1eabn ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra, \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh y\u00eau c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c, trong \u0111\u00f3 khoa h\u1ecdc \u2013 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c then ch\u1ed1t. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u th\u00e1o g\u1ee1 c\u00e1c \u201c\u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn\u201d v\u1ec1 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ec1 cao li\u00eam ch\u00ednh, tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m gi\u1ea3i tr\u00ecnh v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh vai tr\u00f2 trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n trong ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i XIV x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p (TFP) \u0111\u1ea1t tr\u00ean 55% v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t lao \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n kho\u1ea3ng 8,5%\/n\u0103m. Theo PGS. TS Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u01b0\u1eddng L\u1ea1ng, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a TFP v\u00e0o v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026\u20132030 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh r\u00f5 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u01b0 duy ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, t\u1eeb d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng sang d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, tri th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf mu\u1ed1n b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e2ng cao \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh theo h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh chi cho nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n (R&D), n\u00e2ng c\u1ea5p h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, t\u1eadp trung gi\u1ea3i m\u00e3, l\u00e0m ch\u1ee7 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. Vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i h\u00f3a k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3i g\u1eafn v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khoa h\u1ecdc \u2013 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn, v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t huy vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khoa h\u1ecdc c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t, c\u1ea7n ch\u00fa tr\u1ecdng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9i ng\u0169 nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c tinh hoa, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 khoa h\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0nh v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt cao, \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 thu h\u00fat v\u00e0 gi\u1eef ch\u00e2n nh\u00e2n t\u00e0i trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c ti\u00ean phong, chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u.<\/p>\n

\u1ede g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u0129 m\u00f4, PGS. TS L\u00ea Xu\u00e2n B\u00e1 – nguy\u00ean Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (CIEM) nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t \u201cng\u00e3 r\u1ebd l\u1ecbch s\u1eed\u201d, \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u0103n b\u1ea3n trong t\u01b0 duy ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n. Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea cho th\u1ea5y, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1986\u20132025 \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 6,51%\/n\u0103m, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eebng c\u00f3 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 nh\u01b0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c (9,58%\/n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1960\u20131990), Trung Qu\u1ed1c (10,02%\/n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1978\u20132018) hay Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (8,49%\/n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1947\u20131977).<\/p>\n

Theo PGS. TS L\u00ea Xu\u00e2n B\u00e1, \u0111\u1ec3 gia nh\u1eadp nh\u00f3m c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao v\u1edbi GDP tr\u00ean 10%, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng theo chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu khai th\u00e1c v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean. Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 TFP \u2013 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1eeb g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t TFP \u1edf v\u1ecb tr\u00ed trung t\u00e2m chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a kinh t\u1ebf, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n t\u1ea1o n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng cao ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ea1nh tranh qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c ch\u1ed1ng ch\u1ecbu c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 \u201cch\u00eca kh\u00f3a\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a kh\u00e1t v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1 trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1edbi v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n t\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh qu\u1ed1c gia ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2045.<\/p>\n

PV<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u to\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 XIV c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng x\u00e1c l\u1eadp m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u00ean 10%\/n\u0103m giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026\u20132030. Trong \u0111\u00f3, n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p (TFP) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p tr\u00ean 55% v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t trung t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[10,11,59],"tags":[],"acf":{"linh-vuc":"\u0110o l\u01b0\u1eddng"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88937"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=88937"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88937\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":88938,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/88937\/revisions\/88938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=88937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=88937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tcvn.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=88937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}