{"id":16013,"date":"2024-09-27T16:22:39","date_gmt":"2024-09-27T09:22:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/?p=16013"},"modified":"2024-09-27T16:27:46","modified_gmt":"2024-09-27T09:27:46","slug":"iaea-du-bao-vao-nam-2050-tong-cong-suat-dien-hat-nhan-cua-the-gioi-se-tang-gap-25-lan-so-voi-hien-tai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/iaea-du-bao-vao-nam-2050-tong-cong-suat-dien-hat-nhan-cua-the-gioi-se-tang-gap-25-lan-so-voi-hien-tai\/","title":{"rendered":"IAEA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 t\u1ed5ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd t\u0103ng g\u1ea5p 2,5 l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ng\u00e0y 16 th\u00e1ng 9, C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nguy\u00ean t\u1eed Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IAEA) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u1eafp \u0111\u1eb7t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd l\u00e0 514 GW \u1edf \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d v\u00e0 950 GW \u1edf \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d so v\u1edbi 372 GW v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2023 th\u00ec d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng 1,4 l\u1ea7n trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d v\u00e0 h\u01a1n 2,5 l\u1ea7n trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">C\u00f3 30 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang d\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n\u00a0 th\u00ec c\u0169ng c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y n\u00e0y. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u0169ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c l\u00f2 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u00f4-\u0111un nh\u1ecf (SMR) s\u1ebd chi\u1ebfm 24% c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t b\u1ed5 sung v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d v\u00e0 6% trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng trong 4 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ph\u00e2n t\u00edch r\u1eb1ng khi m\u1ee9c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 v\u1eeba \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o an ninh n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1eeba gi\u1ea3m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00ed CO2 th\u00ec nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n s\u1ebd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng. T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd Grossi cho bi\u1ebft: \u201c\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u00a0d\u00e0nh cho \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng nhanh\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Trong l\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 &#8216;tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p&#8217; l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 lu\u1eadt, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 quy \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u1ecbu bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed5i kh\u00ed h\u1eadu v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng nhi\u1ec1u, gi\u1ea3 \u0111\u00ecnh n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u tham v\u1ecdng h\u01a1n \u201dtr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 thi v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t \u0111i\u1ec7n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bl\u00e0 3GW trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d v\u00e0 11GW trong \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d. V\u1edbi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n, c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IAEA tin r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua &#8216;tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao&#8217;, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ki\u1ec3m ch\u1ee9ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 l\u00f2 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n, qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng l\u00f2 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng, h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c ph\u00e1p quy v\u00e0 h\u00e0i h\u00f2a qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (\u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n SMR) v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ngu\u1ed3n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi IAEA c\u0169ng \u00a0n\u00eau r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i xem x\u00e9t m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u00edch \u0111\u00e1ng c\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb m\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p cho h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111i\u1ec7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao, t\u00ednh an to\u00e0n cung c\u1ea5p \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i kh\u00ed nh\u00e0 k\u00ednh th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">IAEA cho r\u1eb1ng tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y ch\u01b0a ch\u1eafc \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i r\u00f2ng b\u1eb1ng 0 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050. \u0110\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y vi\u1ec7c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c ph\u00e1t th\u1ea3i r\u00f2ng b\u1eb1ng 0, \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n n\u00e0y ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>International Nuclear Energy Development of Japan (JINED)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ng\u00e0y 16 th\u00e1ng 9, C\u01a1 quan N\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nguy\u00ean t\u1eed Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IAEA) th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u1eafp \u0111\u1eb7t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd l\u00e0 514 GW \u1edf \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ea5p\u201d v\u00e0 950 GW \u1edf \u201ctr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p cao\u201d so v\u1edbi 372 GW v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2023 th\u00ec d\u1ef1 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":16014,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chuyen-muc-tin-dien-hat-nhan-nhat-ban"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16013"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16013\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16018,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16013\/revisions\/16018"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16014"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}