﻿{"id":17825,"date":"2025-07-22T16:18:01","date_gmt":"2025-07-22T09:18:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/?p=17825"},"modified":"2025-07-22T16:18:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-22T09:18:48","slug":"dam-bao-nguon-cung-dien-cho-nhung-nam-2040-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/dam-bao-nguon-cung-dien-cho-nhung-nam-2040-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111i\u1ec7n cho nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2040, 2050"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Ng\u00e0y 9 th\u00e1ng 7, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y V\u1eadn h\u00e0nh H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0110i\u1ec7n To\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c (ghi ch\u00fa 1) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n cung c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n cho n\u0103m 2040 v\u00e0 2050. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh xem x\u00e9t b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2023. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi 10 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 kho\u1ea3ng 40 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c trong ng\u00e0nh, doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 chuy\u00ean gia \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(Ghi ch\u00fa 1) L\u00e0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2015 theo Lu\u1eadt Kinh doanh \u0110i\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c, v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111i\u1ec7n to\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch trung l\u1eadp v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi duy tr\u00ec ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111i\u1ec7n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p kinh doanh \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">V\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n, s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a DX (Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ed1) v\u00e0 GX (Chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i Xanh) l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi DX, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh trong ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u0111i\u1ec7n do s\u1ef1 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI) t\u1ea1o sinh, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c trung t\u00e2m d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi. Vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5t b\u00e1n d\u1eabn, v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho DX, c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi GX, nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u ng\u00e0nh nh\u1eb1m h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi kh\u1eed carbon bao g\u1ed3m: s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u s\u1ea1c \u0111i\u1ec7n do ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn xe \u0111i\u1ec7n trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u00f4 t\u00f4, chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb l\u00f2 nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 cao sang l\u00f2 \u0111i\u1ec7n trong ng\u00e0nh th\u00e9p, v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb t\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t \u0111i\u1ec7n b\u1eb1ng nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u h\u00f3a th\u1ea1ch sang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u01b0\u1edbi trong ng\u00e0nh xi m\u0103ng, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda cung, ngay c\u1ea3 khi t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c thay th\u1ebf t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y nhi\u1ec7t \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 60 n\u0103m tu\u1ed5i, k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cho th\u1ea5y trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n cao nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050 (12,500 t\u1ef7 kWh) cho th\u1ea5y ngu\u1ed3n cung s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, n\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c thay th\u1ebf c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y nhi\u1ec7t \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n, ngu\u1ed3n cung s\u1ebd b\u1ecb thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng ngay t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2040.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">B\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 ra s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong vi\u1ec7c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o. Trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nhu c\u1ea7u cao nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2050, c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t l\u1eafp \u0111\u1eb7t c\u1ee7a n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n l\u00e0 260 tri\u1ec7u kW, v\u01b0\u1ee3t xa c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec7t \u0111i\u1ec7n (133,7 tri\u1ec7u kW) v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n (37 tri\u1ec7u kW). Tuy nhi\u00ean, kho\u1ea3ng 70% n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb \u0111i\u1ec7n m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi, v\u00e0 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1ee7i ro thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t cung v\u00e0o m\u00f9a h\u00e8 ho\u1eb7c ban \u0111\u00eam, khi nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u0103ng cao do n\u00f3ng b\u1ee9c nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u s\u1edbm c\u00f3 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n trong vi\u1ec7c thu h\u1ed3i v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u1eed carbon, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng quy m\u00f4 \u0111\u1ea5u gi\u00e1 ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u1eed carbon (ghi ch\u00fa 2). Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ngu\u1ed3n cung trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i sang c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u1eed carbon, c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y nhi\u1ec7t \u0111i\u1ec7n than hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t cao c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 thi\u1ebfu. T\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp xem x\u00e9t c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 6, c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 ki\u1ec7n to\u00e0n m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh doanh \u0111i\u1ec7n v\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(Ghi ch\u00fa 2) L\u00e0 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2024, nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u1eed carbon, bao g\u1ed3m x\u00e2y m\u1edbi ho\u1eb7c thay th\u1ebf. Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111i\u1ec7n theo nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc trong th\u1eddi gian 20 n\u0103m. S\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111i\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u00f4ng qua \u0111\u1ea5u gi\u00e1, v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chi tr\u1ea3 t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u0111i\u1ec7n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">N\u1ebfu ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb cho n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u cho nhi\u1ec7t \u0111i\u1ec7n. X\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y, c\u1ea7n theo \u0111u\u1ed5i s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p t\u1ed1i \u01b0u gi\u1eefa \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u2013 bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c k\u00e9o d\u00e0i th\u1eddi gian v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh ho\u1eb7c thay th\u1ebf c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec7n h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u2013 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n kh\u00e1c. C\u1ea7n c\u00f3 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 th\u1eddi gian ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ngu\u1ed3n \u0111i\u1ec7n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u00f3a c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111i\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><em>Ngu\u1ed3n: B\u00e1o \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y V\u1eadn h\u00e0nh H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0110i\u1ec7n To\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c, B\u1ed9 Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 CN Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n,\u00a0<\/em><em>Li\u00ean \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111i\u1ec7n l\u1ef1c Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><strong>International Nuclear Energy Development of Japan (JINED)<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ng\u00e0y 9 th\u00e1ng 7, T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y V\u1eadn h\u00e0nh H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0110i\u1ec7n To\u00e0n qu\u1ed1c (ghi ch\u00fa 1) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n cung c\u1ea7u \u0111i\u1ec7n cho n\u0103m 2040 v\u00e0 2050. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh xem x\u00e9t b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2023. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi 10 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15787,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chuyen-muc-tin-dien-hat-nhan-nhat-ban"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17825"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17825\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17827,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17825\/revisions\/17827"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/vinatom.gov.vn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}